John Paul Sides from Newnan, GA, age 65

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John Sides

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Republicans’ Pessimistic Views On The Economy Have Little To Do With The Economy

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And this disconnect underscores a key point that political scientists John Sides, Lynn Vavreck, and I have repeatedly made about the 2016 election: Despite a media narrative that attributed Trumps political rise to widespread economic dissatisfaction and anxiety, it was partisan and race-based oppo

Date

May 05, 2021

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Headlines

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Google

Buttigieg absorbs a pummeling, and there's more where that came from

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The political scientists Lynn Vavreck and John Sides looked at this dynamic in the 2012 Republican presidential primary. That contest had a series of short-lived frontrunners who briefly overtook Mitt Romney before GOP voters returned to him and gave him the nomination. Vavreck and Sides have descri

Date

Dec 20, 2019

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Headlines

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Google

The Republican Party versus democracy

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What weve learned a lot in the last couple of years about the nature of democracy is that democratic rules and norms depend on the ability of elites to agree and coordinate on those, says John Sides, a political scientist at George Washington University. It matters what choices leaders make, and

Date

Dec 17, 2018

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Headlines

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Democrats will lose this fall by fighting over immigration now

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It is very clear that immigration may very well have made the difference in 2016. In conjunction with the Democracy Fund Voter Study Groups report, John Sides from George Washington University also found that attitudes about illegal immigration were strongly correlated with vote switching. In parti

Date

Feb 14, 2018

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Did Republicans just wave bye-bye to their House majority?

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pecific members their seats. A study from Brendan Nyhan, Seth Masket, the Monkey Cage's John Sides and othersin 2012 found that, in the 2010 midterm elections the first one after Obamacare's passage and the one in which the GOP took over the House Democrats who supported Obamacare did 5.8 point

Date

May 04, 2017

Category:

World

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Google

How could Monday night's debate affect the election? Let's think up some extreme scenarios!

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mination; George H.W. Bush checking his watch in a town hall debate. Except that if you look at John Sidess analysis from 2012, even those debate moments were not all that consequential. The one exception might be the 2000 debates, which contributedto a two-point swing from Al Gore to George W. Bush. As V

Date

Sep 26, 2016

Category:

U.S.

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Google

Top Wonks Take Aim At Sanders Economic Estimates

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for Sanders, said Hans Noel, a professor in Georgetown University's government department. In the "discovery-scrutiny-decline" cycle that political scientists like John Sides and Lynn Vavreck say candidates follow, more scrutiny means that more people are looking at Sanders and taking him seriously.

Date

Feb 17, 2016

Category:

U.S.

Source:

Google

Bernie Sanders tries to be the next Barack Obama in Iowa, not the next Howard Dean

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Campaigns can target better and, thanks to a lot of rigorous experimentation, have a better sense of what actually gets potential voters to the polls, said John Sides, coauthor of The Gamble: Choice and Chance in the 2012 Presidential Election. But those tactics typically make a difference at t

Date

Jan 29, 2016

Category:

U.S.

Source:

Google

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