Inventors:
Antony Mott - New York NY, US
International Classification:
G06I 10/06375
G06Q 40/08
G06Q 10/06315
G06Q 30/0206
G06Q 10/0637
G06Q 10/0639
G06Q 10/06
G06T 15/04
G06F 17/5022
US Classification:
705 37, 705 4, 705 7, 705 725, 705 35, 705 36, 705 36 R, 705 36 T, 705 38, 700100, 345582, 345810, 703 20
Abstract:
A computer implemented method of making an investment value decision through modeling an investment's expected cash flows, each expected cash flow represented on the display device of a computer as a graphical three-dimensional joint-probability volume encapsulating uncertainties of both time and magnitude, making it unnecessary to consider investment risk before choosing discount rates, allowing a user to discount all cash flows using only the “risk-free” rate to produce a net present value probability distribution rather than single-number estimate, and displaying the resulting net present value probability distribution as a graphical two-dimensional net present value probability area on the display device of a computer, wherein one dimension represents magnitude and the other dimension represents probability.